Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 22.829842 25.929649 29.315992 33.293265 37.841041 42.883951 48.907010
2025-01-12 17.360138 21.344791 26.070435 32.101816 39.615440 48.693606 60.534392
2025-01-19 14.035963 18.412492 23.964302 31.553862 41.707351 54.889633 73.412154
2025-01-26 12.267832 17.006434 23.373554 32.607637 45.747791 63.910204 91.152836
2025-02-02 11.083974 16.122739 23.242324 34.118379 50.462727 74.346487 112.325516
2025-02-09 9.873175 14.979619 22.520423 34.580364 53.601639 82.809034 131.748213
2025-02-16 8.626241 13.584506 21.198459 33.882510 54.771460 88.305019 147.208588
2025-02-23 7.634436 12.438134 20.083078 33.304645 55.962764 93.862829 163.420441
2025-03-02 6.836575 11.493480 19.154049 32.871692 57.268582 99.677388 180.784559
2025-03-09 6.235203 10.796605 18.537582 32.862779 59.252841 106.836845 201.497782
2025-03-16 5.699482 10.145371 17.913864 32.741523 60.978993 113.688221 222.542213
2025-03-23 5.412990 9.900068 17.968731 33.846050 65.091030 125.452053 254.838968
2025-03-30 5.010654 9.412793 17.556593 34.073991 67.657580 134.799507 284.195652
2025-04-06 4.512953 8.691785 16.629836 33.192130 67.914686 139.609826 304.862292
2025-04-13 4.128336 8.145375 15.974627 32.766136 69.037606 146.333239 330.772365
2025-04-20 3.953646 7.995466 16.082692 33.924512 73.668202 161.166617 377.571574
2025-04-27 3.834976 7.945211 16.384132 35.526943 79.482742 179.424823 435.569493
2025-05-04 3.622395 7.673908 16.192683 36.020750 82.851144 192.572994 483.298313
2025-05-11 3.327095 7.193029 15.500252 35.297215 83.278946 198.845587 514.610493
2025-05-18 3.071285 6.771922 14.893322 34.696010 83.915756 205.703553 548.631152
2025-05-25 2.851325 6.408382 14.376528 34.244887 84.859496 213.453093 586.419327
2025-06-01 2.682259 6.143923 14.058050 34.235937 86.918113 224.349794 634.958942
2025-06-08 2.519893 5.878506 13.709449 34.109503 88.654959 234.646298 683.621987